Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategorySpencer
105K ←96
3.99ERA ←4.66
1.35WHIP ←1.43
4–9W →9–20
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategorySpencer
65K ←43
3.18ERA →1.34
1.13WHIP1.13
4W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael King
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.251 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.99 is 0.81 above the ERA — regression coming
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.229 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.96 is 3.02 above the ERA — regression coming
Michael King: 105 K / 3.99 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 96 K / 4.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).