Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategorySpencer
81K →87
4.01ERA ←4.54
1.29WHIP ←1.44
3–7W →9–19
0SV0
Current Season
BrandonCategorySpencer
25K →43
3.60ERA →1.34
1.03WHIP ←1.13
2W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Woodruff
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.13)
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.234 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.77 is 2.56 above the ERA — regression coming
Brandon Woodruff: 81 K / 4.01 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 87 K / 4.54 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).