MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Portrait of Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MIN · P
Change to
Brandon Woodruff
MIL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bailey Ober wins 2 (K, W); Brandon Woodruff wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.2
Brandon Woodruff
91.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
9.6%
Brandon Woodruff
12.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
16.2%
Brandon Woodruff
27.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
29.2%
Brandon Woodruff
34.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
33.1%
Brandon Woodruff
34.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.7%
Brandon Woodruff
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.323
Brandon Woodruff
.263
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
3.204.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.29
Brandon Woodruff
3.204.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
3.99
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
.9201.42
now 1.22
1.31
Brandon Woodruff
.9201.42
now 1.03
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
4054.40
now 46
31
Brandon Woodruff
4054.40
now 25
29
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.0008
now 6
25
Brandon Woodruff
.0008
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellBailey Ober — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeBrandon Woodruff — hold.conf 0.50
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