MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Portrait of Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MIN · P
Change to
Mick Abel
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Mick Abel.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Bailey Ober’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Mick Abel wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Bailey Ober wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.2
Mick Abel
94.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
9.6%
Mick Abel
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
16.2%
Mick Abel
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
29.2%
Mick Abel
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
33.1%
Mick Abel
40.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.7%
Mick Abel
5.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.323
Mick Abel
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
3.744.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.29
Mick Abel
3.744.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.98
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
1.081.71
now 1.22
1.31
Mick Abel
1.081.71
now 1.57
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
4055.20
now 46
31
Mick Abel
4055.20
now 23
35
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.0008
now 6
25
Mick Abel
.0008
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellBailey Ober — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeMick Abel — hold.conf 0.50
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