Who's more valuable, rest of season
Mick Abel.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Aaron Nola’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a
Mick Abel wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Aaron Nola wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Mick Abel
94.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.7%
Mick Abel
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.6%
Mick Abel
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.3%
Mick Abel
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.5%
Mick Abel
40.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
10.4%
Mick Abel
5.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.320
Mick Abel
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
3.356.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.25
Mick Abel
3.356.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.98
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.191.68
now 1.39
1.32
Mick Abel
1.191.68
now 1.57
1.30
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4080.40
now 64
51
Mick Abel
4080.40
now 23
43
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.2003.80
now 3
1–3
Mick Abel
.2003.80
now 1
1–3
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeMick Abel — hold.conf 0.50