MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Michael King
Michael King
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Nola.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Michael King’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Nola wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Michael King wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Michael King
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.7%
Michael King
11.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.6%
Michael King
21.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.3%
Michael King
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.5%
Michael King
34.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
10.4%
Michael King
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.320
Michael King
.329
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
2.236.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.24
Michael King
2.236.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
4.42
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.031.49
now 1.39
1.32
Michael King
1.031.49
now 1.13
1.35

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
49.4070.60
now 64
55
Michael King
49.4070.60
now 65
55
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
1.204.80
now 3
23
Michael King
1.204.80
now 4
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighMichael King — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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