Rest of Season Projection
AaronCategoryMichael
114K ←110
4.22ERA →3.98
1.29WHIP ←1.35
3–7W →4–9
0SV0
Current Season
AaronCategoryMichael
64K →65
5.55ERA →3.18
1.39WHIP →1.13
3W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aaron Nola
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.29)
Michael King
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.251 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.98 is 0.80 above the ERA — regression coming
Nola leads in K (114 vs 110) and WHIP (1.29 vs 1.35); King edges ERA (3.98 vs 4.22). The hold vs sell-high verdicts reflect the surface spread.