MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Portrait of Luis Castillo
Luis Castillo
SEA · P
Change to
Mick Abel
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Mick Abel.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Luis Castillo’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Mick Abel wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Luis Castillo wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Luis Castillo
95.3
Mick Abel
94.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Luis Castillo
12.4%
Mick Abel
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Luis Castillo
20.1%
Mick Abel
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Luis Castillo
32.8%
Mick Abel
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Luis Castillo
41.1%
Mick Abel
40.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Luis Castillo
9.4%
Mick Abel
5.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Luis Castillo
.323
Mick Abel
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Luis Castillo
3.366.15
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.53
4.29
Mick Abel
3.366.15
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.98
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Luis Castillo
1.191.68
now 1.45
1.32
Mick Abel
1.191.68
now 1.57
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Luis Castillo
4069.20
now 56
55
Mick Abel
4069.20
now 23
47
Winshigher is better
Luis Castillo
.2003.80
now 2
13
Mick Abel
.2003.80
now 1
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellLuis Castillo — sell.conf 0.64
Hold · wait & seeMick Abel — hold.conf 0.50
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