MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 19, 2026
Lance McCullers Jr.
HOU · P
Change to
Mick Abel
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Lance McCullers Jr. wins 2 (K, W); Mick Abel wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
91.6
Mick Abel
94.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
11.6%
Mick Abel
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
25.0%
Mick Abel
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
27.3%
Mick Abel
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
50.5%
Mick Abel
40.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
8.6%
Mick Abel
5.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.330
Mick Abel
.350
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
2.838.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.86
4.17
Mick Abel
2.838.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.98
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
1.191.68
now 1.53
1.34
Mick Abel
1.191.68
now 1.57
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
40111.20
now 43
86
Mick Abel
40111.20
now 23
75
Winshigher is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.0006.60
now 2
35
Mick Abel
.0006.60
now 1
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLance McCullers Jr. — hold.conf 0.55
Hold · wait & seeMick Abel — hold.conf 0.50
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