MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Roki Sasaki
Roki Sasaki
LAD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Nola wins 2 (K, ERA); Roki Sasaki wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Roki Sasaki
97.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
11.3%
Roki Sasaki
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.1%
Roki Sasaki
24.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.0%
Roki Sasaki
32.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
39.4%
Roki Sasaki
44.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.1%
Roki Sasaki
10.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.321
Roki Sasaki
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
3.666.09
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.20
Roki Sasaki
3.666.09
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.24
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.241.46
now 1.39
1.33
Roki Sasaki
1.241.46
now 1.35
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
40107.40
now 64
91
Roki Sasaki
40107.40
now 50
72
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
1.807.20
now 3
36
Roki Sasaki
1.807.20
now 3
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Nola — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · leans sellRoki Sasaki — hold.conf 0.60
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