Rest of Season Projection
AaronCategoryMichael
114K ←98
4.22ERA →3.95
1.29WHIP ←1.32
3–7W →4–9
0SV0
Current Season
AaronCategoryMichael
64K →65
5.55ERA →3.23
1.39WHIP →1.12
3W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aaron Nola
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.29)
Michael Wacha
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.95 is 0.72 above the ERA — regression coming
Aaron Nola: 114 K / 4.22 ERA. Michael Wacha: 98 K / 3.95 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).