Who's more valuable, rest of season
Too close to call.
They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a
Aaron Nola wins 1 (K); Michael Wacha wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Michael Wacha
93.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.8%
Michael Wacha
10.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.9%
Michael Wacha
19.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.6%
Michael Wacha
29.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
39.6%
Michael Wacha
36.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
10.1%
Michael Wacha
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.316
Michael Wacha
.315
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
2.306.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.14
Michael Wacha
2.306.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.23
4.12
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.011.50
now 1.39
1.32
Michael Wacha
1.011.50
now 1.12
1.31
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
47.4070.60
now 64
59
Michael Wacha
47.4070.60
now 65
53
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.8006.20
now 3
2–4
Michael Wacha
.8006.20
now 4
2–5
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Nola — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · steadyMichael Wacha — hold.conf 0.60