Rest of Season Projection
GermánCategoryMichael
64K →91
4.24ERA →4.18
1.32WHIP1.32
5–11W ←4–8
0SV0
Current Season
GermánCategoryMichael
19K →65
5.76ERA →3.23
1.45WHIP →1.12
3W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Germán Márquez
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.69)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Michael Wacha
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.265 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.22 is 0.64 above the ERA — regression coming
Germán Márquez: 64 K / 4.24 ERA. Michael Wacha: 91 K / 4.18 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).