Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryNick
91K ←81
4.18ERA ←4.28
1.32WHIP →1.31
4–8W →4–8
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategoryNick
65K ←22
3.23ERA ←5.20
1.12WHIP ←1.37
4W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael Wacha
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.265 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.22 is 0.64 above the ERA — regression coming
Nick Lodolo
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.64)
Michael Wacha: 91 K / 4.18 ERA. Nick Lodolo: 81 K / 4.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).