Rest of Season Projection
MacKenzieCategoryMichael
110K ←95
4.07ERA →3.96
1.36WHIP →1.32
4–9W ←4–8
0SV0
Current Season
MacKenzieCategoryMichael
65K65
3.96ERA →3.23
1.19WHIP →1.12
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
MacKenzie Gore
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.07)
Michael Wacha
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.96 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
MacKenzie Gore: 110 K / 4.07 ERA. Michael Wacha: 95 K / 3.96 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).