Rest of Season Projection
JeffreyCategoryMichael
97K ←95
3.99ERA →3.96
1.29WHIP ←1.32
3–7W →4–8
0SV0
Current Season
JeffreyCategoryMichael
57K →65
4.07ERA →3.23
1.19WHIP →1.12
3W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jeffrey Springs
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.99)
Michael Wacha
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.96 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
Jeffrey Springs: 97 K / 3.99 ERA. Michael Wacha: 95 K / 3.96 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).