Rest of Season Projection
GerritCategoryJeffrey
100K ←97
4.10ERA →3.99
1.30WHIP →1.29
4–9W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
GerritCategoryJeffrey
12K →57
0.00ERA ←4.07
0.71WHIP ←1.19
1W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gerrit Cole
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.191 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.48 is 0.48 above the ERA — regression coming
Jeffrey Springs
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.99)
Gerrit Cole: 100 K / 4.10 ERA. Jeffrey Springs: 97 K / 3.99 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).