Rest of Season Projection
GerritCategoryKeider
100K ←75
4.10ERA →3.43
1.30WHIP →1.26
4–9W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
GerritCategoryKeider
12K →43
0.00ERA ←3.69
0.71WHIP ←1.00
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gerrit Cole
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.191 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.48 is 0.48 above the ERA — regression coming
Keider Montero
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.43)
Gerrit Cole: 100 K / 4.10 ERA. Keider Montero: 75 K / 3.43 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).