Rest of Season Projection
GerritCategoryRanger
100K ←97
4.10ERA →3.61
1.30WHIP1.30
4–9W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
GerritCategoryRanger
12K →57
0.00ERA ←3.38
0.71WHIP ←1.16
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gerrit Cole
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.191 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.48 is 0.48 above the ERA — regression coming
Ranger Suarez
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.61, 0.49 below league — production is earned
Gerrit Cole: 100 K / 4.10 ERA. Ranger Suarez: 97 K / 3.61 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).