Rest of Season Projection
GerritCategoryPeter
100K ←81
4.10ERA →4.04
1.30WHIP ←1.33
4–9W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
GerritCategoryPeter
12K →43
0.00ERA ←3.77
0.71WHIP ←1.21
1W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gerrit Cole
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.191 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.48 is 0.48 above the ERA — regression coming
Peter Lambert
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.85)
Gerrit Cole: 100 K / 4.10 ERA. Peter Lambert: 81 K / 4.04 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).