Rest of Season Projection
DustinCategoryMichael
88K →95
3.74ERA ←3.96
1.32WHIP1.32
3–7W →4–8
0SV0
Current Season
DustinCategoryMichael
51K →65
4.57ERA →3.23
1.30WHIP →1.12
3W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dustin May
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.74)
Michael Wacha
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.96 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
Dustin May: 88 K / 3.74 ERA. Michael Wacha: 95 K / 3.96 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).