Rest of Season Projection
NickCategoryNick
86K ←72
4.28ERA ←4.37
1.31WHIP1.31
4–9W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
NickCategoryNick
22K →41
5.20ERA →1.62
1.37WHIP →1.11
2W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nick Lodolo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.62 is 1.41 above the ERA — regression coming
Nick Martinez
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.51 +0.41 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Nick Lodolo: 86 K / 4.28 ERA. Nick Martinez: 72 K / 4.37 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).