MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 8, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Logan Webb
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Nola wins 2 (K, W); Logan Webb wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.3
Logan Webb
92.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.4%
Logan Webb
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.2%
Logan Webb
19.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.2%
Logan Webb
33.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
41.5%
Logan Webb
39.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
10.0%
Logan Webb
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.320
Logan Webb
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
3.136.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.23
Logan Webb
3.136.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
3.82
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.191.46
now 1.39
1.33
Logan Webb
1.191.46
now 1.39
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4075.20
now 64
42
Logan Webb
4075.20
now 47
36
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.2003.80
now 3
13
Logan Webb
.2003.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Nola — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · leans buyLogan Webb — hold.conf 0.60
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