Is Logan Webb a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Logan Webb's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

week 25

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Logan Webb

SF·P

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

Hold · steady skill near league average (4.06); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60

ROSK 12ERA 4.06WHIP 1.27W 0–1SV 0

Webb is a hold — league-average skill, nothing pulling either way

His expected ERA is 4.06, right on the league average of 4.10, and he has faced enough batters for that number to be reliable. His expected wOBA allowed is .311, basically level with the .315 league mark, so there is no luck story buried in the surface either way. The stuff backs up the middle-of-the-road read: he strikes out 19.7% of batters, a touch below league, and walks just 6.2%, a touch better, and those rates are stable at his sample. One thing worth tracking is the direction — his expected ERA has been stepping down across the season, so the skill underneath is at least trending the right way. There is no sell window here and no discount to buy. Hold. 12 K and a 4.06 ERA are waiver-fringe numbers, not a streamer's edge, so hold as a drop-tier afterthought and keep him off your radar.

VS His Norm

Strikeout %19.7%—−3.0% ▼vs his ~22.7% career norm
Walk %6.2%—+0.3% ▲vs his ~5.8% career norm

Drivers

xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.06)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Hard-Hit % Allowed38.9%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.1%vs his norm —

465 / 50 BBE

Barrel % Allowed5.6%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.4%vs his norm —

465 / 60 BBE

xwOBA Allowed.311

lg avg .315 ▼−.004vs his norm —

644 / 200 TBF

xERA4.06

lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.04vs his norm —

644 / 200 TBF

ERA4.11

lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.01vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.

155.7 / 200 IP

Strikeout %19.7%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.3%vs his norm −3.0% ▼

644 / 70 TBF

Walk %6.2%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.8%vs his norm +0.3% ▲

644 / 170 TBF

BABIP Against.282

lg avg .295 ▼−.013vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.

465 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %10.2%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —

644 / 60 TBF

Chase %32.9%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.4%vs his norm —

644 / 60 TBF

Fastball Velo92.3 mph

lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−1.7 mphvs his norm —

2396 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

K% 19.7%→20.4%signal12 K — K% 19.7% (signal) lifted to career ~22.7% → projected 20.4% over ~13 remaining IP.

xERA 4.06signal4.06 ERA — regresses up toward xERA 4.06 (signal): elite skill, but overperforming even…

BB% 6.2% + contactsignal1.27 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.287 gives a 1.27 skill WHIP.

run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.

role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.

rosterdrop12 K ROS, 4.06 ERA

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons