MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 12, 2026
Lance McCullers Jr.
HOU · P
Change to
Logan Webb
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Lance McCullers Jr. wins 2 (K, W); Logan Webb wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
91.6
Logan Webb
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
11.6%
Logan Webb
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
25.0%
Logan Webb
19.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
27.3%
Logan Webb
33.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
50.5%
Logan Webb
40.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
8.6%
Logan Webb
5.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.329
Logan Webb
.309
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
2.818.02
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.86
4.18
Logan Webb
2.818.02
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
3.97
WHIPlower is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
1.191.63
now 1.53
1.34
Logan Webb
1.191.63
now 1.39
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
4069.60
now 43
62
Logan Webb
4069.60
now 47
58
Winshigher is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
1.204.80
now 2
24
Logan Webb
1.204.80
now 2
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLance McCullers Jr. — hold.conf 0.55
Hold · steadyLogan Webb — hold.conf 0.60
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