MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 28, 2026
Lance McCullers Jr.
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Trevor McDonald
Trevor McDonald
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Lance McCullers Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Trevor McDonald’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Lance McCullers Jr. wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Trevor McDonald wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
91.6
Trevor McDonald
94.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
11.6%
Trevor McDonald
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
25.0%
Trevor McDonald
19.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
27.3%
Trevor McDonald
29.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
50.5%
Trevor McDonald
40.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
8.6%
Trevor McDonald
4.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.329
Trevor McDonald
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
3.097.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.86
4.17
Trevor McDonald
3.097.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.34
4.18
WHIPlower is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.9001.71
now 1.53
1.34
Trevor McDonald
.9001.71
now 1.07
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
4095.60
now 43
76
Trevor McDonald
4095.60
now 27
66
Winshigher is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.0009
now 2
25
Trevor McDonald
.0009
now 2
37

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLance McCullers Jr. — hold.conf 0.55
Hold · steadyTrevor McDonald — hold.conf 0.60
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