Who's more valuable, rest of season
Max Scherzer.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Lance McCullers Jr.’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a
Max Scherzer wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Lance McCullers Jr. wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
91.6
Max Scherzer
93.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
11.6%
Max Scherzer
8.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
25.0%
Max Scherzer
13.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
27.3%
Max Scherzer
30.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
50.5%
Max Scherzer
39.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
8.6%
Max Scherzer
13.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.329
Max Scherzer
.378
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.86
4.17
Max Scherzer
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 10.23
4.14
WHIPlower is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
1.141.90
now 1.53
1.34
Max Scherzer
1.141.90
now 1.73
1.31
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
40100.80
now 43
76
Max Scherzer
40100.80
now 14
64
Winshigher is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.0006.60
now 2
2–5
Max Scherzer
.0006.60
now 1
2–4
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLance McCullers Jr. — hold.conf 0.55
Hold · wait & seeMax Scherzer — hold.conf 0.50