Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryMax
67K →76
4.09ERA ←4.14
1.30WHIP ←1.31
2–4W2–4
0SV0
Current Season
MattCategoryMax
22K ←14
8.49ERA ←10.23
1.71WHIP ←1.73
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Waldron
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.78 sits 0.32 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.384 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Max Scherzer
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.11)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Matt Waldron: 68 K / 4.09 ERA. Max Scherzer: 77 K / 4.14 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).