Rest of Season Projection
CarlosCategoryMatt
75K ←67
4.10ERA4.09
1.30WHIP1.30
2–5W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
CarlosCategoryMatt
20K →22
3.32ERA ←8.49
1.32WHIP ←1.71
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carlos Rodón
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.27)
Matt Waldron
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.78 sits 0.32 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.384 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Carlos Rodón: 76 K / 4.10 ERA. Matt Waldron: 68 K / 4.09 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).