MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Max Scherzer
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Max Scherzer.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Dustin May’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Max Scherzer wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Dustin May wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dustin May
96.9
Max Scherzer
93.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
10.8%
Max Scherzer
8.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
23.4%
Max Scherzer
13.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dustin May
30.2%
Max Scherzer
30.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
46.1%
Max Scherzer
39.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
6.1%
Max Scherzer
13.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dustin May
.308
Max Scherzer
.377
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dustin May
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.98
Max Scherzer
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 10.23
4.14
WHIPlower is better
Dustin May
1.131.90
now 1.30
1.34
Max Scherzer
1.131.90
now 1.73
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dustin May
4065.80
now 51
40
Max Scherzer
4065.80
now 14
41
Winshigher is better
Dustin May
.2003.80
now 3
23
Max Scherzer
.2003.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.78
Hold · wait & seeMax Scherzer — hold.conf 0.50
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