MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 5, 2026
Portrait of Luis Castillo
Luis Castillo
SEA · P
Change to
Max Scherzer
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Max Scherzer.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Luis Castillo’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Max Scherzer wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Luis Castillo wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Luis Castillo
95.3
Max Scherzer
93.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Luis Castillo
12.7%
Max Scherzer
8.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Luis Castillo
21.1%
Max Scherzer
13.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Luis Castillo
32.4%
Max Scherzer
30.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Luis Castillo
44.3%
Max Scherzer
39.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Luis Castillo
9.0%
Max Scherzer
13.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Luis Castillo
.329
Max Scherzer
.377
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Luis Castillo
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.53
4.39
Max Scherzer
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 10.23
4.14
WHIPlower is better
Luis Castillo
1.141.90
now 1.45
1.33
Max Scherzer
1.141.90
now 1.73
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Luis Castillo
4095.20
now 56
72
Max Scherzer
4095.20
now 14
58
Winshigher is better
Luis Castillo
.2003.80
now 2
23
Max Scherzer
.2003.80
now 1
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellLuis Castillo — sell.conf 0.68
Hold · wait & seeMax Scherzer — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet