Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryMax
60K →76
4.08ERA ←4.14
1.30WHIP ←1.31
2–5W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryMax
20K ←14
1.71ERA ←10.23
0.86WHIP ←1.73
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Miller
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.226 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 1.83 is 0.50 above the ERA — regression coming
Max Scherzer
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.11)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Bryce Miller: 61 K / 4.08 ERA. Max Scherzer: 77 K / 4.14 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).