MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of J.T. Ginn
J.T. Ginn
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dustin May.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. J.T. Ginn’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dustin May wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); J.T. Ginn wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dustin May
96.9
J.T. Ginn
93.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
10.5%
J.T. Ginn
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
22.9%
J.T. Ginn
21.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dustin May
30.1%
J.T. Ginn
30.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
45.4%
J.T. Ginn
34.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
6.1%
J.T. Ginn
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dustin May
.306
J.T. Ginn
.309
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dustin May
2.195.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.91
J.T. Ginn
2.195.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.87
3.99
WHIPlower is better
Dustin May
1.061.43
now 1.30
1.34
J.T. Ginn
1.061.43
now 1.14
1.35

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dustin May
4057.60
now 51
45
J.T. Ginn
4057.60
now 52
47
Winshigher is better
Dustin May
1.204.80
now 3
24
J.T. Ginn
1.204.80
now 3
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.86
Sell HighJ.T. Ginn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.86
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