MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Matt Waldron
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dustin May.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dustin May wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Matt Waldron wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dustin May
96.9
Matt Waldron
92.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
10.8%
Matt Waldron
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
23.4%
Matt Waldron
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dustin May
30.2%
Matt Waldron
30.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
46.1%
Matt Waldron
40.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
6.1%
Matt Waldron
6.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dustin May
.308
Matt Waldron
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dustin May
2.188.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.98
Matt Waldron
2.188.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.09
WHIPlower is better
Dustin May
1.141.87
now 1.30
1.34
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dustin May
4062.60
now 51
40
Matt Waldron
4062.60
now 22
37
Winshigher is better
Dustin May
.2003.80
now 3
23
Matt Waldron
.2003.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.78
Hold · wait & seeMatt Waldron — hold.conf 0.50
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