MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Germán Márquez
SD · P
Change to
Lance McCullers Jr.
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Germán Márquez wins 2 (WHIP, W); Lance McCullers Jr. wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Germán Márquez
94.3
Lance McCullers Jr.
91.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Germán Márquez
9.2%
Lance McCullers Jr.
11.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Germán Márquez
14.8%
Lance McCullers Jr.
25.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Germán Márquez
24.0%
Lance McCullers Jr.
27.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Germán Márquez
45.8%
Lance McCullers Jr.
50.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Germán Márquez
10.4%
Lance McCullers Jr.
8.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Germán Márquez
.367
Lance McCullers Jr.
.330
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Germán Márquez
3.117.93
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.76
4.25
Lance McCullers Jr.
3.117.93
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.86
4.18
WHIPlower is better
Germán Márquez
1.241.61
now 1.45
1.32
Lance McCullers Jr.
1.241.61
now 1.53
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Germán Márquez
40107.20
now 19
57
Lance McCullers Jr.
40107.20
now 43
82
Winshigher is better
Germán Márquez
.00013.20
now 3
510
Lance McCullers Jr.
.00013.20
now 2
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGermán Márquez — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeLance McCullers Jr. — hold.conf 0.55
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