MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Walbert Ureña
Walbert Ureña
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Nola.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Nola wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Walbert Ureña wins 1 (ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Walbert Ureña
97.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
11.3%
Walbert Ureña
12.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.1%
Walbert Ureña
21.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.0%
Walbert Ureña
30.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
39.4%
Walbert Ureña
33.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.1%
Walbert Ureña
5.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.321
Walbert Ureña
.283
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
26.79
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.20
Walbert Ureña
26.79
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.44
3.25
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.261.49
now 1.39
1.33
Walbert Ureña
1.261.49
now 1.38
1.42

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
40111
now 64
91
Walbert Ureña
40111
now 41
68
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.4007.60
now 3
36
Walbert Ureña
.4007.60
now 2
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Nola — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighWalbert Ureña — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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