Who's more valuable, rest of season
Too close to call.
They split your categories 2–2. Take whoever fills a bigger need.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
▶
SV n/a
Aaron Nola wins 2 (K, WHIP); Dustin May wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Dustin May
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.7%
Dustin May
10.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.6%
Dustin May
22.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.3%
Dustin May
30.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.5%
Dustin May
45.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
10.4%
Dustin May
6.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.320
Dustin May
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
3.256.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.24
Dustin May
3.256.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.91
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.231.46
now 1.39
1.32
Dustin May
1.231.46
now 1.30
1.34
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4072.40
now 64
55
Dustin May
4072.40
now 51
43
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
1.204.80
now 3
2–3
Dustin May
1.204.80
now 3
2–4
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.86