Who's more valuable, rest of season
Aaron Nola.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Kyle Bradish’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a
Aaron Nola wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Kyle Bradish wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Kyle Bradish
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.8%
Kyle Bradish
11.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.9%
Kyle Bradish
23.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.6%
Kyle Bradish
30.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
39.6%
Kyle Bradish
36.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
10.1%
Kyle Bradish
8.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.316
Kyle Bradish
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
2.606.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.14
Kyle Bradish
2.606.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.44
3.79
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.251.49
now 1.39
1.32
Kyle Bradish
1.251.49
now 1.42
1.39
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
53.4070.60
now 64
60
Kyle Bradish
53.4070.60
now 65
59
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
1.204.80
now 3
2–4
Kyle Bradish
1.204.80
now 3
2–4
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Nola — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
BuyKyle Bradish — buy.conf 0.69