MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Hunter Greene
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Hunter Greene.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Aaron Nola’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Hunter Greene wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Aaron Nola wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Hunter Greene
98.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.7%
Hunter Greene
14.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.6%
Hunter Greene
30.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.3%
Hunter Greene
31.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.5%
Hunter Greene
46.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
10.4%
Hunter Greene
5.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.320
Hunter Greene
.332
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.24
Hunter Greene
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 21.60
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
.9002.55
now 1.39
1.32
Hunter Greene
.9002.55
now 3.30
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4089.60
now 64
52
Hunter Greene
4089.60
now 7
66
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0004.20
now 3
23
Hunter Greene
.0004.20
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeHunter Greene — hold.conf 0.55
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