week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Brandon Woodruff
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.84); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 36WHIP 1.28ERA 3.99W 2–4SV 0
Brandon Woodruff is a hold — league average, stable, nothing special.
ROS projects K 25 YTD → 36 ROS, ERA 3.60 YTD → 3.99 ROS, WHIP 1.03 YTD → 1.28 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %27.0%—−1.9% ▼vs his ~28.9% career norm
- Walk %5.7%—−0.6% ▼vs his ~6.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.84)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed34.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.5%vs his norm —
116 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
116 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.263
lg avg .315 ▼−.052vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
174 / 200 TBF
xERA2.84
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.26vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
174 / 200 TBF
ERA2.98
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.12vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
45.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %27.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.0%vs his norm −1.9% ▼
174 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.3%vs his norm −0.6% ▼
174 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.207
lg avg .295 ▼−.088vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
116 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
174 / 60 TBF
Chase %34.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.8%vs his norm —
174 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo91.8 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−2.2 mphvs his norm —
639 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 27.0%→28.0%signal36 K — K% 27.0% (signal) lifted to career ~28.9% → projected 28.0% over ~41 remaining IP.
xERA 2.84noise3.99 ERA — xERA 2.84 (noise) blended 9% skill / 91% league 4.10 at 30 IP.
BB% 5.7% + contactsignal1.28 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.282 gives a 1.11 skill WHIP, blended 9%…
run support + role2-4 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop36 K ROS, 3.99 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.