week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Brandon Woodruff
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 15-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.13); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 81ERA 4.01WHIP 1.29W 3–7SV 0
Woodruff is a hold — limited data, no edge.
ROS projects K 25 YTD → 81 ROS, ERA 3.60 YTD → 4.01 ROS, WHIP 1.03 YTD → 1.29 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %20.7%—−8.2% ▼vs his ~28.9% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.13)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed33.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.0%vs his norm —
88 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.0%
lg avg 8.0% 0.0%vs his norm —
88 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.280
lg avg .315 ▼−.035vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
121 / 200 TBF
xERA3.13
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.97vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
121 / 200 TBF
ERA3.60
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.50vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
30 / 200 IP
Strikeout %20.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm −8.2% ▼
121 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.2%vs his norm −0.5% ▼Walk % is below his ~6.3% norm — expect it to rise.
121 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.238
lg avg .295 ▼−.057vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
88 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 20.7%→25.8%signal81 K — K% 20.7% (signal) lifted to career ~28.9% → projected 25.8% over ~78 remaining IP.
xERA 3.13noise4.01 ERA — xERA 3.13 (noise) blended 9% skill / 91% league 4.10 at 30 IP.
BB% 5.8% + contactnoise1.29 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.289 gives a 1.24 skill WHIP, blended 9%…
run support + role3-7 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep81 K ROS, 4.01 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.