MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Brandon Woodruff
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brandon Woodruff wins 1 (WHIP); Casey Mize wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
91.8
Casey Mize
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
12.0%
Casey Mize
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
27.0%
Casey Mize
20.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brandon Woodruff
34.3%
Casey Mize
29.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
34.5%
Casey Mize
39.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
7.8%
Casey Mize
8.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brandon Woodruff
.263
Casey Mize
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brandon Woodruff
24.68
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
3.99
Casey Mize
24.68
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.86
WHIPlower is better
Brandon Woodruff
.9001.42
now 1.03
1.28
Casey Mize
.9001.42
now 0.97
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brandon Woodruff
4068.60
now 25
0
Casey Mize
4068.60
now 49
0
Winshigher is better
Brandon Woodruff
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Casey Mize
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrandon Woodruff — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · leans buyCasey Mize — hold.conf 0.60
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