MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Troy Melton
Troy Melton
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Troy Melton.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Troy Melton wins 1 categories (ERA); Casey Mize wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.3
Troy Melton
96.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
11.0%
Troy Melton
11.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
20.0%
Troy Melton
20.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.4%
Troy Melton
31.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
39.4%
Troy Melton
38.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
8.3%
Troy Melton
6.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.303
Troy Melton
.302
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
24.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.86
Troy Melton
24.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.42
3.84
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.43
now 0.97
1.29
Troy Melton
.9001.43
now 0.95
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
4068.60
now 49
0
Troy Melton
4068.60
now 4
0
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Troy Melton
.0002.80
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyCasey Mize — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighTroy Melton — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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