MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 6, 2026
Hunter Brown
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Troy Melton
Troy Melton
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Troy Melton.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Hunter Brown’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Troy Melton wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Hunter Brown wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Hunter Brown
96.1
Troy Melton
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Hunter Brown
11.6%
Troy Melton
12.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Hunter Brown
24.7%
Troy Melton
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Hunter Brown
26.8%
Troy Melton
33.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Hunter Brown
38.1%
Troy Melton
33.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Hunter Brown
6.7%
Troy Melton
5.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Hunter Brown
.299
Troy Melton
.275
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Hunter Brown
24.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.84
3.72
Troy Melton
24.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.42
3.12
WHIPlower is better
Hunter Brown
.9001.62
now 1.03
1.43
Troy Melton
.9001.62
now 0.95
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Hunter Brown
4076.80
now 17
56
Troy Melton
4076.80
now 4
10
Winshigher is better
Hunter Brown
.0005.20
now 1
24
Troy Melton
.0005.20
now 1
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyHunter Brown — buy.conf 0.71
Sell HighTroy Melton — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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