MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MIN · P
Change to
Clay Holmes
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bailey Ober wins 2 (WHIP, W); Clay Holmes wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.3
Clay Holmes
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
9.5%
Clay Holmes
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
17.5%
Clay Holmes
20.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
28.6%
Clay Holmes
32.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
32.7%
Clay Holmes
44.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.3%
Clay Holmes
5.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.323
Clay Holmes
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
25.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.30
Clay Holmes
25.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.39
3.92
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
1.011.42
now 1.22
1.31
Clay Holmes
1.011.42
now 1.10
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
4051.60
now 46
36
Clay Holmes
4051.60
now 45
40
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.4007.60
now 6
36
Clay Holmes
.4007.60
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBailey Ober — sell.conf 0.64
Sell HighClay Holmes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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