MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Roki Sasaki
Roki Sasaki
LAD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Roki Sasaki.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Bailey Ober’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Roki Sasaki wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Bailey Ober wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.3
Roki Sasaki
97.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
9.5%
Roki Sasaki
14.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
17.5%
Roki Sasaki
23.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
28.6%
Roki Sasaki
32.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
32.7%
Roki Sasaki
43.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.3%
Roki Sasaki
11.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.323
Roki Sasaki
.321
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
4.044.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.30
Roki Sasaki
4.044.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.26
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
1.151.42
now 1.22
1.31
Roki Sasaki
1.151.42
now 1.35
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
4055.60
now 46
39
Roki Sasaki
4055.60
now 50
43
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.4007.60
now 6
36
Roki Sasaki
.4007.60
now 3
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellBailey Ober — sell.conf 0.64
Hold · leans sellRoki Sasaki — hold.conf 0.60
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