Rest of Season Projection
DustinCategorySpencer
87K →96
3.75ERA ←4.66
1.32WHIP ←1.43
3–7W →9–20
0SV0
Current Season
DustinCategorySpencer
51K ←43
4.57ERA →1.34
1.30WHIP →1.13
3W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dustin May
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.75)
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.229 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.96 is 3.02 above the ERA — regression coming
Dustin May: 87 K / 3.75 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 96 K / 4.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).