
271 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekBUY-LOW
————————
Mike Trout
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Trout is a buy — elite contact, xwOBA surging.
His expected wOBA is .422 — .107 above league average — and he has 271 plate appearances, well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His contact quality is elite and improving: 91.1 mph exit velocity, 49.3% hard-hit rate, and 20.9% barrel rate, all well above league and on stable samples. His actual wOBA is .393, slightly below his xwOBA, so there is no luck inflating the line. His walk rate is elite at 21%; the strikeout rate is near league average. The only downside is nothing — this is a Hall-of-Fame bat producing at a Hall-of-Fame level with no luck story to fade. Buy.
Buy
high0.81
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.422, +0.107 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.1 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL148 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %49.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+9.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL148 / 50 BBE
Barrel %20.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+12.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL148 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.422
lg avg .315 ▲+.107trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL271 / 160 PA
wOBA.393
lg avg .315 ▲+.078trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL271 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL271 / 60 PA
Walk %21.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+12.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL271 / 120 PA
BABIP.276
lg avg .295 ▼−.019too early to trust
NOISE148 / 800 BIP