Who's more valuable, rest of season
Mike Trout.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs and average. Aaron Judge’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
HR
R
▶
◀
RBI
SB
AVG
▶
Mike Trout wins 2 categories (R, AVG); Aaron Judge wins 1 (RBI); 2 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
94.1
Mike Trout
90.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
57.3%
Mike Trout
49.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Aaron Judge
21.7%
Mike Trout
19.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
25.8%
Mike Trout
19.8%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Aaron Judge
13.8%
Mike Trout
9.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Aaron Judge
.415
Mike Trout
.409
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Aaron Judge
.220.260
lg AVG .295
now .248
.233
Mike Trout
.220.260
lg AVG .295
now .242
.235
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
5.8020.20
now 17
9
Mike Trout
5.8020.20
now 14
9
Runshigher is better
Aaron Judge
28.2049.80
now 43
33
Mike Trout
28.2049.80
now 45
34
RBIhigher is better
Aaron Judge
2044
now 38
29
Mike Trout
2044
now 31
23
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Aaron Judge
2.806.20
now 5
4
Mike Trout
2.806.20
now 5
4
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAaron Judge — buy.conf 0.80
Buy LowMike Trout — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.67