week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Wilber Dotel
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
ON THE 15-DAY IL
new call
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.33); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 28ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 1–3SV 0
Dotel is a hold — league average, limited data.
ROS projects K 14 YTD → 28 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.33)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed52.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+12.9%vs his norm —
51 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
51 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.322
lg avg .315 ▲+.007vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
79 / 200 TBF
xERA4.33
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.23vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
79 / 200 TBF
ERA5.89
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.79vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
18.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %24.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.1%vs his norm —
79 / 70 TBF
Walk %11.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.4%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
79 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.286
lg avg .295 ▼−.009vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
51 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
79 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —
79 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo98.1 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+4.1 mphvs his norm —
305 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 24.1%→24.1%signal28 K — K% 24.1% (signal) tempered to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 24.1% over ~27 remainin…
xERA 4.33noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.33 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 14 IP.
BB% 11.4% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 11% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.45 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role1-3 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.