254 PA · week 31
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD
Miguel Amaya
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
flipped from HOLD on October 26, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.59 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0
Amaya is a sell — the surface line hides the skill underneath.
Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %7.9%—+1.8% ▲vs his ~6.1% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.2 mphvs his norm —
152 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %34.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.8%vs his norm —
152 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.1%vs his norm +1.8% ▲
152 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.295
lg avg .315 ▼−.020vs his norm —
254 / 160 PA
wOBA.324
lg avg .315 ▲+.009vs his norm —
254 / 200 PA
Strikeout %26.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.4%vs his norm —
254 / 60 PA
Walk %9.1%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
254 / 120 PA
BABIP.315
lg avg .295 ▲+.020vs his norm +.043 ▲BABIP is above his ~.272 norm — expect it to fall.
152 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —
254 / 50 PA
Chase %32.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —
254 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.9%→6.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 7.9% (signal) tempered to career ~6.1% → projected 6.9%.
BABIP 0.315→0.246 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.315 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.204) → 0.246.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 34 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.