158 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Miguel Amaya
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.300); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 2AVG .190R 22RBI 13SB 0
Amaya is a hold — league profile, no edge either way.
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 2 ROS, AVG .217 YTD → .190 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %6.3%—+0.2% ▲vs his ~6.1% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.300)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.4 mphvs his norm —
96 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %33.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.7%vs his norm —
96 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm +0.2% ▲
96 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.300
lg avg .315 ▼−.015vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
158 / 160 PA
wOBA.323
lg avg .315 ▲+.008vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
158 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
158 / 60 PA
Walk %11.4%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.9%vs his norm —
158 / 120 PA
BABIP.293
lg avg .295 ▼−.002vs his norm +.021 ▲BABIP is above his ~.272 norm — expect it to fall.
96 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —
158 / 50 PA
Chase %28.5%
lg avg 28.5% 0.0%vs his norm —
158 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.3%→6.1%signal2 HR — Barrel% 6.3% (signal) tempered to career ~6.1% → projected 6.1%.
BABIP 0.293→0.238 regressednoise.190 AVG — BABIP 0.293 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.202) → 0.238.
on-base + lineup22 R — his run rate over ~150 projected PA.
slugging + lineup13 RBI — his RBI rate over ~150 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 34 G) over ~150 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.