210 PA · week 17
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD
Jorbit Vivas
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from HOLD on July 18, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.297 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.59 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 2AVG .239R 19RBI 6SB 0
Vivas is a sell — his bat is below league with no luck excuse.
Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.297 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo83.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−5.7 mphvs his norm —
159 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %25.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−14.2%vs his norm —
159 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.2%vs his norm —
159 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.297
lg avg .315 ▼−.018vs his norm —
210 / 160 PA
wOBA.294
lg avg .315 ▼−.021vs his norm —
210 / 200 PA
Strikeout %12.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−9.1%vs his norm —
210 / 60 PA
Walk %9.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —
210 / 120 PA
BABIP.260
lg avg .295 ▼−.035vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
159 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.3%vs his norm —
210 / 50 PA
Chase %26.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.4%vs his norm —
210 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.8%→4.6%signal2 HR — Barrel% 3.8% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 4.6%.
BABIP 0.260→0.274 regressednoise.239 AVG — BABIP 0.260 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.277 (xBA 0.245) → 0.274.
on-base + lineup19 R — his run rate over ~155 projected PA.
slugging + lineup6 RBI — his RBI rate over ~155 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 46 G) over ~155 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.