Is Jorbit Vivas a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Jorbit Vivas's rest-of-season outlook?

82.8 mph exit velo kills a 13% strikeout rate.

324 PA · week 25

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

Jorbit Vivas

WSH·3B

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

flipped from HOLD on September 10, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.300 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.58

ROSAVG .234HR 0R 4RBI 1SB 0

Vivas is a sell — the contact is light and the skill says so.

He is averaging 82.8 mph off the bat, six mph below league average, and his hard-hit rate sits at 22.2% against a league mark of 40.0%. Those contact numbers are based on 239 batted balls, well past the point where they become reliable, so this is not a small-sample mirage. His expected wOBA is .300, below the league average of .315, and his actual wOBA of .302 tracks right with it — no bad-luck story pulling the line down. His plate discipline is genuinely good: he strikes out just 13.3% of the time and walks 11.4%. But discipline cannot rescue contact this light, and the underlying skill has been stepping down across the sample. Sell. 0 HR / 4 R / 1 RBI / 0 SB / .234 AVG is waiver-grade — a deep-league drag, not a hold. Drop.

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.300 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo82.8 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−6.2 mphvs his norm —

239 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %22.2%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−17.8%vs his norm —

239 / 50 BBE

Barrel %3.3%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.7%vs his norm —

239 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.300

lg avg .315 ▼−.015vs his norm —

324 / 160 PA

wOBA.302

lg avg .315 ▼−.013vs his norm —

324 / 200 PA

Strikeout %13.3%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−8.7%vs his norm —

324 / 60 PA

Walk %11.4%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.9%vs his norm —

324 / 120 PA

BABIP.270

lg avg .295 ▼−.025vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.

239 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %8.4%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.5%vs his norm —

324 / 50 PA

Chase %28.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —

324 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 3.3%→4.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.3% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 4.2%.

BABIP 0.270→0.273 regressednoise.234 AVG — BABIP 0.270 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.274 (xBA 0.242) → 0.273.

on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~35 projected PA.

slugging + lineup1 RBI — his RBI rate over ~35 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 46 G) over ~35 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons