Is Jorbit Vivas a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Jorbit Vivas's rest-of-season outlook?

82.9 mph exit velo and 21.5% hard-hit undercut the contact skill

364 PA · week 31

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

Jorbit Vivas

WSH·3B

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

flipped from HOLD on October 26, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.292 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.60

ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Vivas is a sell — weak contact, no luck to blame.

He is averaging 82.9 mph off the bat, and that exit velocity is six mph below the league average of 89.0. His hard-hit rate is 21.5% against 40.0%, and his barrel rate is 3.0% against 8.0% — the contact quality has been confirmed through 265 batted balls. His expected wOBA of .292 sits 23 points below league average and his sample is past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .298, closely tracking the expected figure at 364 plate appearances, so there is no bad-luck story dragging the line down. He does make contact — his 14.6% strikeout rate and 11.3% walk rate are both better than league — but contact without impact is not a skill worth paying for. His xwOBA keeps stepping down across the sample. Sell. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG is streaming-only; the drop is the move.

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.292 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo82.9 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−6.1 mphvs his norm —

265 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %21.5%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−18.5%vs his norm —

265 / 50 BBE

Barrel %3.0%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.0%vs his norm —

265 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.292

lg avg .315 ▼−.023vs his norm —

364 / 160 PA

wOBA.298

lg avg .315 ▼−.017vs his norm —

364 / 200 PA

Strikeout %14.6%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−7.4%vs his norm —

364 / 60 PA

Walk %11.3%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —

364 / 120 PA

BABIP.274

lg avg .295 ▼−.021vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.

265 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %9.0%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.0%vs his norm —

364 / 50 PA

Chase %29.1%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —

364 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 3.0%→4.0%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.0% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 4.0%.

BABIP 0.274→0.269 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.274 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.267 (xBA 0.236) → 0.269.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 46 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons