142 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Danny Jansen
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 28% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.254); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .169R 13RBI 14SB 1
Jansen is a hold — league average, nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .171 YTD → .169 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %6.0%—−2.6% ▼vs his ~8.6% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.254)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.3 mphvs his norm —
84 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %33.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.7%vs his norm —
84 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.0%vs his norm −2.6% ▼
84 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.254
lg avg .315 ▼−.061vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
142 / 160 PA
wOBA.268
lg avg .315 ▼−.047vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
142 / 200 PA
Strikeout %28.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.2%vs his norm —
142 / 60 PA
Walk %9.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.7%vs his norm —
142 / 120 PA
BABIP.225
lg avg .295 ▼−.070vs his norm −.013 ▼BABIP is below his ~.238 norm — expect it to rise.
84 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
142 / 50 PA
Chase %23.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.7%vs his norm —
142 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.0%→7.8%signal3 HR — Barrel% 6.0% (signal) lifted to career ~8.6% → projected 7.8%.
BABIP 0.225→0.229 regressednoise.169 AVG — BABIP 0.225 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.167) → 0.229.
on-base + lineup13 R — his run rate over ~166 projected PA.
slugging + lineup14 RBI — his RBI rate over ~166 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 40 G) over ~166 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.